← Back to archive

Monday, 20 April 2026

3 stories · Alex's Daily Alu Digest

LME Aluminium $3,660/t -$19 (-0.5%) Cash settlement · USD/t
ECDP $585/t +$1 (+0.2%) P1020A in-whs dp Rotterdam · USD/t

Novelis Oswego mill restart delay tightens US flat-rolled aluminum supply

Novelis's Oswego, New York hot-rolling mill has missed its earlier restart target and is now expected to resume operations late in Q2 calendar 2026; the outage has removed an estimated 150,000–200,000 tonnes of flat-rolled product shipments, with Novelis purchasing hot band from domestic competitors to fulfil Ford and other automotive customer contracts while Bay Minette's cold mill begins commissioning.

READ FULL STORY ↗

JPMorgan raises Constellium price target to $30 amid elevated aluminium premiums

JPMorgan Chase raised its price objective on Constellium SE from $29.00 to $30.00, maintaining an 'overweight' rating, on 19 April 2026, following a near-40% year-to-date rally in Constellium's stock driven by elevated aluminium premiums tied to the Gulf supply disruption.

Novelis angle

Sustained analyst upgrades on Constellium reflect market consensus that the Gulf-driven P1020 supply squeeze will support European FRP producer margins through 2026, a dynamic that equally benefits Novelis's recycling-intensive cost structure relative to primary-metal-dependent rivals.

READ FULL STORY ↗

LME aluminium eases on April 17 as Strait of Hormuz opens for commercial vessels

LME aluminium cash settlement eased to $3,660/t on 17 April 2026, down from $3,678.50/t the prior day, after Iran's Foreign Minister announced the Strait of Hormuz would reopen for commercial vessels during the ceasefire period, partially unwinding record-level price gains driven by Gulf smelter disruption fears since late February 2026.

READ FULL STORY ↗